Academic Papers
Publications
Academic Papers
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Journal Article: "Digital Economy and Globalization: An Analytical Framework of the Globalization Life Cycle Theory"
This paper believes that the development of globalization needs to meet three conditions, namely, technological revolution, leadership of major powers and international mechanism, and the development of globalization will go through four stages, namely, budding, development, peak and decline. This paper argues that the digital economy will lead a new round of globalization, and is currently in the development period of digital globalization.
2023-08-10 Kun Lang, Meixin Guo, Shaobo Long -
Journal Article: "The Construction and Measurement of Chinese Residents' Consumption Environment Evaluation Index System"
As an important factor affecting residents' consumption, the consumption environment plays an increasingly prominent role in releasing residents' consumption potential, and expanding residents' consumption. On the basis of explaining the specific connotation of residents' consumption environment, this paper constructs an evaluation index system of residents' consumption environment including five secondary indicators.
2023-06-05 Shaobo Long, Jieyu Li, Yulan Zuo -
Journal Article: "Re-measuring the Impact of Demographics Structure on Health Costs in China:An Estimate Based on an Improved Factor Decomposition Method"
Demographic shifts have an important impact on health cost changes. Based on China’s urban-rural dual track health care system, this paper improves the decomposition method of the influencing factors of health expenditure, which helped us to analyze the influence of demographic structure on health costs more comprehensively and accurately.
2023-05-18 Shiyu Li, Junxin Feng -
Journal Article: “Chinese Modernization: Spearheading New Globalization and Inspiring an Emerging Field of Study”
This paper identifies three aspects in which Chinese modernization may have a profound influence on the global economic landscape after examining China’s changing role in the global economy over the past millennium.
2023-04-25 David Daokui Li, Meixin Guo, Kun Lang, Lin Lu -
Impact of vaccination on the COVID-19 pandemic in U.S. states
Governments worldwide are implementing mass vaccination programs in an effort to end the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. Here, we evaluated the effectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccination program in its early stage and predicted the path to herd immunity in the U.S.
2022-02-17 Xiao CHEN, Hanwei HUANG, Jiandong JU, Ruoyan SUN, Jialiang ZHANG -
Credit Guidance in Economic Cycles: A Network Game Perspective
Credit guidance is a common policy practice for the governments of each country. Governments adopted credit guidance to sustain economic growth after the global financial crisis in 2008, and after the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak in 2020. When the economy is in a cyclical upswing,governments may also guide credit flows to develop certain industries and to secure macroeconomic safety. When credit guidance is adopted, governments may choose different firms in different sectors. When the economic cyc
2021-11-22 ZHAO Mofei, XU Xiang -
Can both Bitcoin and gold serve as safe-haven assets? — A comparative analysis based on the NARDL model
This paper uses the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model to analyze the different performances of Bitcoin and gold under the impacts of three different uncertainties, namely global economic policy uncertainty (GEPU), US stock market volatility index (VIX) and the CBOE crude oil ETF volatility index (OVX). The results indicate that faced with shocks of different uncertainties, Bitcoin is unable to serve as a safe-haven, while gold can hedge against uncertainties to varying degre
2021-10-21 Shaobo Long, Hongxia Pei, Hao Tian, Kun Lang -
Financial distress and fiscal inflation
Is inflation ‘always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon’ or is it fundamentally a fiscal phenomenon? The answer hinges crucially on the underlying monetary–fiscal policy regime. Scant attention has been directed to the role of credit market frictions in discerning the policy regime, despite its growing importance in empirical macroeconomics.
2021-08-27 Bing Li, Pei Pei, Fei Tan